The Obstruction Rule would like to welcome back all our existing readers (and those new readers who’ve only just found the site!) for our coverage of the 2017 NRL season.
Besides the stats, The Obstruction Rule will continue to feature a variety of in-depth articles on the NRL as the season goes on, whether they be theoretical, historical or whatever takes our fancy on any given week. You can continue to expect the writing to be well-researched, informative, typically tongue-in-cheek and perhaps a little sarcastic.
New to this year, we’ll be publishing our weekly tips (and associated commentary) directly to the main page prior to the round for transparency. You can continue to sign up to our emails to receive line betting tips, and we may expand these to include other betting options as requested.
Thanks for your continued support.
A quick note on the early round stats: The nature of our VOA-based statistics is that they naturally require a league average as a starting point, thus the smaller the sample size, the less accurate these stats will be. However, to satisfy our readers, we’ll publish the stats and associated projections from Round 1 (despite a persistent letter-writing campaign, I’m yet to find any major footy tipping outlets who are willing to start their competitions from Round 10…). In order to do this, we’re forced to use the 2016 database as the foundation for the stats, and as the weeks pass these will be combined with the new season’s numbers and weighted progressively less each week until the numbers used are entirely from 2017. We can’t guarantee that this method is necessarily going to be effective (we’ve never tried it before, and naturally teams will have changed from one season to the next), but it’s the only way we can think of to present the data in the early rounds without it being totally skewed by an insufficient sample size. In short, for at least the first month it is best to consider our stats as purely for entertainment purposes. They may prove accurate (we’ll review them later in the season), but the method is firmly in the testing phase.