2018 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 29/48 (60%)
Line Betting: 11/21 (52%)
2017 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 66%
Line Betting: 55%
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NRL Round 7 Tips and Previews
Bulldogs v Roosters
Offense VOA: Bulldogs 4.98% (7th), Roosters 5.74% (6th)
Defense VOA: Bulldogs 6.57% (10th), Roosters -18.53% (5th)
Tonight’s clash between the Bulldogs and Roosters is one of the more intriguing games of the week, based as much on the Bulldogs’ consistency as the Roosters lack thereof.
Though the Bulldogs aren’t a sexy team in 2018 (and we’d agree that at this stage they’re probably not a genuine premiership threat), they’ve actually been impressively steady from week to week. They’ve scored between 2-4 tries in every game so far, made between 3-5 line breaks in every outing, and run for between 1270-1370m in 4 of their 6 games. Say what you like about Canterbury, but you know what you’re going to get when they turn up, and that’s 80 minutes of reasonably solid football. Unfortunately, “reasonably solid” is typically only going to be good enough to beat bad teams (like the Cowboys last week), or good teams having a bad day (like the Panthers in Week 3). If teams aim up against the Bulldogs, Canterbury lack the strikepower out wide to keep pace (FUN FACT: Among all NRL teams, the Bulldogs centre pairing of Josh Morris and Will Hopoate rank dead last for combined line breaks – with just 2 all season).
Which makes the Roosters a particularly interesting opponent, primarily because they’re the most inconsistent team through the competition’s opening six weeks. So far this season, the Roosters have scored 5 or more tries in half their games, while being held to 2 or less in their other half. Their performances bounce around like a yo-yo, leaving us wondering each week which Roosters team we’re going to get – Dr. Jekyll, or Mr. Hyde?
For this reason, we don’t hate the Bulldogs at their current price ($2.52 at time of writing). The Roosters’ performance looks like a coin flip, and if they don’t show up, the Bulldogs CAN beat them.
However, we still have to back the Roosters. To borrow from tennis terminology: the match will be decided on their racquet. As unreliable as Sydney have been, we want the team who’d win if both teams play to their potential. And in this case, that team is the Roosters.
Our tip: Roosters