2017 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 22/32 (69%) [Last week: 6/8]
Margin Betting: 7/13 (54%) [Last week: 3/6]
2016 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 71%
Margin Betting: 54%
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NRL Round 5 Tips and Previews
Bulldogs v Broncos
Offense VOA: Bulldogs -23.46% (14th), Broncos 24.55% (2nd)
Defense VOA: Bulldogs -6.60% (9th), Broncos -38.56% (3rd)
Round 5 opens with the under-fire Bulldogs hosting the Broncos, in what looks to be a bit of a mismatch.
The Bulldogs turned in one of the worst 80 minute performances in recent memory against Manly, completing a dreadful 69% of their sets on their way to a 36-0 hiding at Brookvale. The Bulldogs have been disappointing all season long, but they hit rock bottom in Round 4, leading to questions about coach Des Hasler’s tenure at Belmore. Unfortunately, it doesn’t get any easier for them in Round 5, as the Broncos ride into town.
In our recent Month In Review for March, we named the Broncos the early season pace-setters, and with good reason. They are the most complete team so far this year, ranking 2nd and 3rd in Offense VOA and Defense VOA respectively. Though they’ve faced the season’s most difficult draw, they’ve handled themselves with aplomb, as was evident in their composed performance in the face of a fast-finishing Raiders side, in the Broncos’ 13-12 win last weekend.
It’s hard to find an area in which the Bulldogs hold an advantage over the Broncos. The obvious answer would be to point to their pack, but the Dogs have been outgained in all but one match this year (their solitary win against the consistently disappointing Warriors). It’s hard to envisage the Bulldogs ordinary offense making any kind of dent in the Broncos reliable defense, so it’s similarly difficult to see them making a dent on the scoreboard.
Our tip: Broncos