2018 Season Results:

Head-to-Head Tipping: 66/108 (61%)

Line Betting: 20/45 (44%)

2017 Season Results:

Head-to-Head Tipping: 66%

Line Betting: 55%

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NRL Round 15 Tips and Previews

Eels v Rabbitohs

Offense VOA: Eels -26.66% (15th), Rabbitohs 48.56% (1st)

Defense VOA: Eels 16.50% (13th), Rabbitohs -12.36% (5th)

For the first time in six weeks, the Eels have won a game – and once again, it’s led to questions like: “Is Jarryd Hayne back to his best?”, and “Have the Eels finally put it together?”. In short, no.

Quite simply, last weekend’s Eels/Cowboys clash was the worst game of football we’ve seen this year, for which the blame can’t be placed on the referee (although admittedly, the refereeing was pretty ordinary as well). In just 80 minutes of football, the Eels and Cowboys combined for (wait for it) 37 errors, in one of the most disturbingly bad displays of rugby league you could possibly sit through (after accounting for the fact that the ball was only in play for 53 minutes 41 seconds, that equates to an error every 87 seconds. To be honest, it felt even worse).

And when the ball was actually in play? They were shithouse. Though they managed to jag 4 tries, they mustered just 2 line breaks (their 4th week in a row in which they’ve made 3 or less), while getting gashed for 6 line breaks, and 1460 metres (quite remarkable, considering that the Cowboys only completed 25 sets). Oh, and remember – those defensive numbers were against the offense ranked 4th last in the NRL.

The Rabbitohs, meanwhile, were arguably just as ordinary last week, but somehow manage to keep putting up numbers, even when they’re not playing well. The Bunnies made a disgraceful 18 errors themselves; but unlike the Eels, South Sydney were still able to hold their line against one of the league’s offensive cellar-dwellers. Despite having just 46% of the football, the Rabbitohs still limited the Titans to just 2 line breaks, missed just 13 tackles, and conceded over 200m less than Parramatta did. And, perhaps most importantly, that was easily the worst game Souths have played since Round 1; whereas the Eels serve up this shit every week.

So no, we don’t think the Eels have turned a corner, and we don’t think they’re going to beat the Rabbitohs. In fact, we’d say that there’s a good chance they’re going to get flogged.

Our tip: Rabbitohs

[Read more…]

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