2017 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 28/40 (70%) [Last week: 6/8]
Margin Betting: 9/17 (53%) [Last week: 2/4]
2016 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 71%
Margin Betting: 54%
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NRL Round 6 Tips and Previews
Broncos v Roosters
Offense VOA: Broncos 7.51% (5th), Roosters 13.41% (4th)
Defense VOA: Broncos -36.44% (3rd), Roosters -15.52% (6th)
This week Round 6 opens with yet another in a long line of Thursday Night blockbusters, with the Broncos hosting the Roosters.
The Broncos were disappointing in Round 5. Yes, it was flogging down rain for the majority of the match (and rain is the great equaliser of rugby league), but the Broncos were guilty of playing too conservatively in order to protect the footy. Possession is vital, and the Bulldogs have an exceptional defense (woeful Week 4 effort notwithstanding), but to fail to register a single line break would be disappointing for any team, let alone one with the attacking weapons that the Broncos have at their disposal.
The Broncos pack was comprehensively dominated for just the second time this year (also a loss, against the Storm), and in that match their offensive output dropped dramatically as well, registering a single line break and less than 20 tackle breaks. It seems that the Brisbane offense is tied closely to the performance of their forwards, which would be of some concern as their forwards aren’t generally regarded as a particular strength.
For the Roosters, they turned in a typical Roosters performance, and it finally caught up with them. There’s only so many times you can cheaply turn the ball over before you start losing matches, and frankly, the Roosters were fortunate that the Sea Eagles didn’t put them to the sword. Had Mitchell Pearce kicked a regulation field goal, the Roosters issues may have been glossed over; but he didn’t, so it’s possible that this loss will be a blessing in disguise for the men from Bondi.
Regardless, when one of the league’s most ill-disciplined sides meets the league’s most controlled, it doesn’t bode well for Sydney. If these two sides play true to form, you’d expect the Broncos to earn the bulk of possession. And as long as it doesn’t rain, this time we don’t expect the Broncos to waste it.
Our tip: Broncos