2022 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 8/16 (50%) (Last Week: 5/8)2021 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (74%)2020 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (74%)2019 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (64%)2018 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (58%) Line Betting: (46%)2017 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 66% Line Betting: 55% (NOTE: If this is your first visit to the site, be sure to click here for an explanation of what we’re all about.)- Dragons by 2 – A difficult tipping start to 2022 doesn’t get any easier to begin Week 3, with us feeling torn between the solid but unspectacular Dragons and the promising but not-quite-there-yet Sharks. We’re not in any way enamored with the Dragons’ O, and feel they have the look about them of a side who are good enough to take what their opponents give them, but little more. That being said, Cronulla do tend to give a bit – they’ve missed 77 tackles across the first two weeks (3rd-most in the league), and gave up 4 tries and 3 line breaks in Round 1 against a Canberra side who had absolutely nothing a week later against North Queensland. What’s holding us back from enthusiastically endorsing St George-Illawarra here is the spectacular 10 line breaks that the Sharks put through Parramatta last week. To be fair, the Eels’ D may just be terrible (they also gave up 7 in Round 1), and the Dragons’ D has been extremely efficient thus far, but it nevertheless gives us pause for thought. With the home ground advantage we’re taking St George to win through weight of possession, but we really don’t feel great about it.
- Warriors by 1 – Another potential landmine lies waiting in the Warriors/Tigers clash. Neither of these sides has been at all good, and we currently have them measured as the two worst defensive sides in the league. That being the case, there should be plenty of room for both to sides to attack. To that end, losing five-eighth Jackson Hastings is unlikely to help Wests, while the Warriors should only improve as Reece Walsh gets more game time under his belt.
- Rabbitohs by 6 – Though much has been made of the clunky-looking Rabbitohs attack through the opening fortnight, it should probably be pointed out that they’ve quietly accumulated 12 line breaks across that period – not bad for an offense that looks visibly frustrated (if that’s “struggling”, we’d love to know how Manly’s been going). We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: where you see a heap of line breaks, tries will typically soon follow. Will they arrive this week? Quite possibly. The Roosters have hardly looked themselves so far in 2022 either, missing 79 tackles across two weeks (almost double the Bunnies’ 41) and leaking 9 line breaks vs the Rabbitohs’ 6 (and the Rabbitohs have done it despite facing the electric Storm, too). It’s possible that Manly played Sydney into a bit of form last week through the sheer mass of opportunities that they presented, but they’d still need to earn field position against a Rabbitohs’ pack that has looked unstoppable so far. If one of these sides is likely to dramatically improve, we actually think it’s more likely to be Souths, as they settle in with a new halfback, and effectively a new fullback in Latrell Mitchell.
- Panthers by 2 – Sure, the Panthers have looked every bit the best team in the comp through two weeks, but with Nathan Cleary and Moses Leota to be now joined by James Fisher-Harris, Brian To’o and Liam Martin on the sidelines, we’re starting to have flashbacks to some of the bog average performances Penrith turned in during last year’s Origin period (a period in which they lost a game 26-6 to Wests). We still can’t bring ourselves to tip against the defending premiers, but for the undefeated Knights to still be paying over $3 at time of writing feels a little bit disrespectful.
- Storm by 12 – We touched on it earlier, but after giving up 9 tries and 17 line breaks in the first two weeks of footy, we’re genuinely starting to wonder – are the Eels just bad? They haven’t been particularly good on either side of the ball so far, and it isn’t likely to get any easier with an away trip to Melbourne. The only reason we aren’t tipping Melbourne by 13+ is the fact that they may be without a hooker, with Harry Grant and Tyran Wishart both ruled out due to COVID, and Brandon Smith considered unlikely due to a broken hand. If Cheese plays though, we wouldn’t rule out a thumping.
- Titans by 10 – If you’re wondering which team has had the worst go-forward in the NRL so far, look no further than the Canberra Raiders, proud owners of a RMVOA of -20.00% – literally twice as bad as the second-worst team so far (surprisingly, Parra). The Raiders have run for a league-low 2,164 metres across two weeks, despite facing two sides – Cronulla and North Queensland – who are hardly known for their defensive starch (in fact, in these sides’ two other games they’ve played, they gave up a combined 2,960m). The Raiders’ defense has been the only thing keeping them in matches, but against the explosive Titans, that might be a tough ask.
- Broncos by 2 – We wrote last week how unimpressed we were with the Cowboys’ offense, and jagging a few fluky tries off kicks hasn’t done anything to convince us otherwise. But we’ll give credit where it’s due – their defense has looked drastically better than in 2021, and as long as they’re able to stay on the right side of the possession ledger, that D should be good enough to keep them in matches. That being said, the Broncos’ offense was better with the addition of Adam Reynolds last weekend, and we expect them to be better again here. The way North Queensland attack, 3 tries may well be enough to get the win, and we fancy the Broncos should have that in them.
- Sea Eagles by 6? – If Manly can’t beat the Bulldogs, there’s got to be some serious questions asked about whatever the heck is going on over at the Northern Beaches. They’ve been completely atrocious through two weeks, but have at least been able to argue that they’ve faced two of the competition’s better sides. If they somehow manage to keep stinking the place up here… actually, we’d prefer not to even think about it.
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