2022 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 3/8 (38%) (Last Week: 3/8)
2021 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (74%)
2020 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (74%)
2019 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (64%)
2018 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: (58%)
Line Betting: (46%)
2017 Season Results:
Head-to-Head Tipping: 66%
Line Betting: 55%
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- Storm by 8 – The Rabbitohs really weren’t as bad as the embarrassing result suggested, comfortably rumbling downfield and creating plenty of attacking opportunities (opportunities that they then squandered with uncharacteristic errors). We expect them to be better here – especially with Latrell Mitchell back – but unfortunately, the Storm are typically an awful matchup for Souths. Melbourne have long been the best team in the league for limiting opposition run metres (indeed, they held Wests to just 1265m last week, despite the Tigers enjoying a 56% possession share), and even without Christian Welch and Dale Finucane in 2022, we don’t see any reason to expect that to change. And as a general rule, if you can stop the Bunnies’ go-forward, you typically stop the Bunnies.
- Panthers by 20+
- Sea Eagles by 1 – Both these sides were comprehensively dominated last weekend, making this extremely tough to pick. You’d have to expect both sides to be better (they really couldn’t be any worse), but if one side is going to swiftly bounce back, we’re inclined to roll with the team with the most continuity. By and large, Manly look essentially identical to the team that stomped all over an under-strength Roosters outfit in last year’s Finals. The Roosters, meanwhile, look to have a lot of adjusting to do with a re-worked backline and spine (a spine that was again altered by the late loss of Sam Verrills last week). We love the talent of the Roosters’ group and fully expect them to be there when the whips are cracking, but they looked like they need time to build combinations. Manly, on the other hand, just looked like they needed a softer opponent.
- Titans by 16 – The Warriors were our biggest disappointment of Week 1, as they rolled out a peculiar defensive structure that utilised the full width of the field, but at the cost of creating yawning gaps between defenders and ample one-on-one opportunities for attackers on the edges. This resulted in them getting carved up for 28 points by a St George-Illawarra side who only hit that mark 3 times all year last season. Against a Titans side with a bit of genuine attacking spark, we don’t feel at all good about their chances.
- Eels by 8 – Cronulla weren’t terrible last week, they just gave Canberra far too many invitations into their own end. They’ll need to significantly improve their discipline against a Parra side who made single-digit errors and conceded just 2 combined penalties last week (compared to Cronulla’s 14 and 8, respectively), and who have the attacking nous to capitalise on strong field position. The matchup looks good for the Eels, but it’ll be interesting to see how quickly the new-look Sharks can improve.
- Raiders by 6 – The Raiders were hardly amazing in victory last week, but the Cowboys were absolutely woeful. It’ll be hard to tip North Queensland against anybody until we see some signs of life.
- Knights by 16
- Broncos by 4 – Both these sides were more effort than ability last week, but we’re sure they’re both stoked to actually beat somebody. It’s hard to believe, but one of these two teams will be undefeated after two weeks of footy. What a time to be alive.